About Us

PredikLabs AG: A Scientific Research Firm for Professional Prediction Data

PredikLabs AG is a Swiss-based quantitative research firm that engineers institutional-grade financial and economic indicators. The firm operates a proprietary data processing engine that ingests, normalizes, and refines predictive signals from a diverse range of sources, including certified human experts, market-driven data, and AI models.

The core of PredikLabs’ methodology is its “Domain-Agnostic Reliability Engine,” which applies two critical filters:

  1. The Expertise Filter: Predictions are sourced exclusively from a community of accredited professionals who have undergone a rigorous vetting and certification process governed by the Predik Scientist Association.
  2. The Conviction Filter: The influence of each predictive signal is precisely weighted by its underlying quantifiable commitment. This is a universal measure of “skin in the game,” derived from any source where a measurable stake can be identified. Examples include, but are not limited to:
    • Direct Capital at Stake: Assets committed via smart contracts or otherwise on prediction platforms.
    • Market-Derived Weight: Inferred conviction from market activity, such as traded volume, open interest in derivatives, or liquidity in cash markets.
    • Any Other Measurable Commitment: Any other method by which a tangible or financial stake behind a forecast can be objectively measured and normalized.

By aggregating these conviction-weighted inputs, PredikLabs produces a suite of “Refined Prediction Composites”—forward-looking indices designed for institutional clients like hedge funds, asset managers, and corporate treasuries.

The Ecosystem: A Symbiotic Structure

The PredikLabs ecosystem is built on a unique relationship between two key entities, both headquartered in Zug, Switzerland:

  1. The Predik Scientist Association: A non-profit association that supports open research, establishes and maintains rigorous certification standards for professional predictors, and governs the integrity of the forecasting methodologies. It acts as the guardian of quality and the hub of innovation.
  2. PredikLabs AG: The exclusive commercial arm of the ecosystem. Its role is to build, operate, and scale the technology infrastructure required to produce and deliver prediction indices to institutional clients.

This structure creates a powerful flywheel: the Association licenses its intellectual property and standards to PredikLabs for commercialization, and the Lab, in turn, licenses technology and provides funding back to the Association to support its non-profit mission. In essence, the Association is the ‘brain’ focused on research and standards, while PredikLabs AG is the ‘engine’ that drives commercial success.

Regulatory Position & Path to Market

PredikLabs operates as a publisher of scientific and economic research, not a financial benchmark administrator or a gambling platform.

  • Output (Prediction Indices): The firm’s primary output is licensed B2B data in the form of anonymized, aggregated indices intended for research and risk management.
  • Input (Data Collection): The collection of prediction data is handled in strict compliance with the Swiss Federal Act on Data Protection (FADP).
  • Path to Market for Regulated Products: Should an index become suitable for use as a formal benchmark (e.g., for an ETF), PredikLabs’ role is to license the underlying signal to a regulated benchmark administrator (such as Solactive, Bita, or any other similar regulated entity). This partner then assumes the responsibility of publishing the official, regulatory-grade version of the index.

This model ensures PredikLabs remains a pure research and technology provider, separate from the regulated publication of financial instruments, and occupies a new, distinct category of Professional Prediction Data.